DDM Analysis: GBX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$90.59 - $165.11	$121.51
Multi-Stage	$142.74 - $156.88	$149.67
Blended Fair Value	$135.59
Current Price	$46.63
Upside	190.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	2.40%	9.16%	1.23	1.20	1.12	1.11	1.11	1.09	1.03	0.93	0.77	0.73
YoY Growth	-	-	3.13%	6.37%	0.84%	0.38%	1.39%	5.97%	10.96%	20.18%	6.81%	41.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.64%	1.76%	2.98%	2.90%	2.78%	3.28%	3.67%	1.90%	1.55%	1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	204.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	39.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	164.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	40.82	25.51	15.31
Cash Retained (M)	164.50	164.50	164.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-40.82	-25.51	-15.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	123.68	138.99	149.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	32.13	32.13	32.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.85	4.33	4.64
LTM Dividend per Share	1.23	1.23	1.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.85	4.33	4.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.08	5.56	5.88
WACC / Discount Rate	6.64%	6.64%	6.64%
Growth Rate	0.98%	1.98%	2.98%
Fair Value	$90.59	$121.51	$165.11
Upside / Downside	94.27%	160.59%	254.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	204.10	208.14	212.25	216.45	220.74	225.10	231.86
Payout Ratio	19.40%	33.52%	47.64%	61.76%	75.88%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	39.60	69.77	101.12	133.68	167.50	202.59	214.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.64%	6.64%	6.64%
Growth Rate	0.98%	1.98%	2.98%
Year 1 PV (M)	64.78	65.43	66.07
Year 2 PV (M)	87.18	88.91	90.67
Year 3 PV (M)	107.01	110.22	113.50
Year 4 PV (M)	124.49	129.50	134.65
Year 5 PV (M)	139.82	146.88	154.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,062.45	4,267.63	4,481.01
Equity Value (M)	4,585.73	4,808.57	5,040.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	32.13	32.13	32.13
Fair Value	$142.74	$149.67	$156.88
Upside / Downside	206.11%	220.98%	236.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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688267.SS	China Catalyst Holding Co., Ltd.	1.26%	$0.35	34.87%
8848.T	Leopalace21 Corporation	1.26%	$8.31	27.11%
BAUH4.SA	Excelsior Alimentos S.A.	1.26%	$1.17	21.88%
CAST.ST	Castellum AB (publ)	1.26%	$1.33	21.53%
CRH	CRH plc	1.26%	$1.60	33.62%
HBEL.BO	Humming Bird Education Limited	1.26%	$0.30	36.54%
JCI	Johnson Controls International plc	1.26%	$1.54	56.71%
KOG.OL	Kongsberg Gruppen ASA	1.26%	$3.40	42.40%
OEM-B.ST	OEM International AB (publ)	1.26%	$1.74	40.26%
SAREGAMA.BO	Saregama India Limited	1.26%	$4.51	42.77%
SDPC.JK	PT Millennium Pharmacon International Tbk	1.26%	$2.00	15.16%
002448.SZ	ZYNP Corporation	1.25%	$0.16	32.06%
0QLU.L	Basler Kantonalbank	1.25%	$1.11	12.42%
145720.KS	Dentium Co. Ltd.	1.25%	$599.51	9.81%
204320.KS	Mando Corporation	1.25%	$820.37	29.46%
3684.TWO	Grand-Tek Technology Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.80	29.94%
5819.KL	Hong Leong Bank Berhad	1.25%	$0.28	13.43%
600633.SS	Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.16	35.54%
600850.SS	CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.37	49.83%
603329.SS	Shanghai Ace Investment & Development Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.14	79.14%
603920.SS	Olympic Circuit Technology Co., Ltd	1.25%	$0.61	53.40%
6632.T	JVCKENWOOD Corporation	1.25%	$15.03	12.26%
9717.T	JASTEC Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$24.25	22.00%
9719.T	SCSK Corporation	1.25%	$70.95	36.13%
ENTER.AT	Entersoft S.A.	1.25%	$0.10	20.30%
ETN	Eaton Corporation plc	1.25%	$4.08	40.54%
IRFC.BO	Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited	1.25%	$1.60	30.59%
LVC.WA	LiveChat Software S.A.	1.25%	$1.46	20.71%
ORSTED.CO	Ørsted A/S	1.25%	$1.60	10.19%
000514.SZ	Chongqing Yukaifa Co., Ltd	1.24%	$0.06	55.20%
002346.SZ	Shanghai Zhezhong Group Co.,Ltd	1.24%	$0.25	18.48%
002748.SZ	Jiangxi Selon Industrial Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.16	89.09%
1976.T	MEISEI INDUSTRIAL Co.,Ltd.	1.24%	$21.03	12.53%
300763.SZ	Ginlong Technologies Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.88	39.17%
600871.SS	Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation	1.24%	$0.03	81.02%
603585.SS	Suli Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.23	35.70%
605116.SS	Aurisco Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.	1.24%	$0.31	29.49%
ALWED.PA	Wedia S.A.	1.24%	$0.38	21.38%
MNC.WA	Mennica Polska S.A.	1.24%	$0.60	6.22%
MTHH.CO	MT Højgaard Holding A/S	1.24%	$6.49	19.74%
WALL-B.ST	Wallenstam AB (publ)	1.24%	$0.51	17.40%
WRT1V.HE	Wärtsilä Oyj Abp	1.24%	$0.38	40.46%
041830.KQ	InBody Co.,Ltd	1.23%	$400.00	16.47%
0QHK.L	SeSa S.p.A.	1.23%	$1.12	27.54%
0Y5C.L	Allegion plc	1.23%	$1.99	26.83%
300726.SZ	Zhuzhou Hongda Electronics Corp.,Ltd.	1.23%	$0.63	74.98%
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4148.TW	All Cosmos Bio-Tech Holding Corporation	1.23%	$0.48	23.21%
544.SI	CSE Global Limited	1.23%	$0.01	26.84%
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Financial Statements

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Sector

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener