Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gabelli Dividend Growth AAA (GABBX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.51 - $234.60$196.27
Multi-Stage$281.69 - $309.39$295.27
Blended Fair Value$245.77
Current Price$18.15
Upside1,254.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%3.954.304.224.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---8.26%1.93%4.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--23.34%24.84%25.94%22.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)627.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)252.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)375.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)125.4778.4247.05
Cash Retained (M)375.05375.05375.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-125.47-78.42-47.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)249.58296.63328.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.5429.5429.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.4510.0411.10
LTM Dividend per Share8.548.548.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.4510.0411.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.9918.5819.65
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$160.51$196.27$234.60
Upside / Downside784.34%981.35%1,192.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)627.37621.10614.88608.74602.65596.62614.52
Payout Ratio40.22%50.17%60.13%70.09%80.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)252.32311.63369.74426.65482.38536.96568.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)284.65287.56290.46
Year 2 PV (M)308.48314.81321.20
Year 3 PV (M)325.14335.19345.45
Year 4 PV (M)335.78349.70364.04
Year 5 PV (M)341.41359.19377.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,725.627,075.847,440.49
Equity Value (M)8,321.088,722.289,139.35
Shares Outstanding (M)29.5429.5429.54
Fair Value$281.69$295.27$309.39
Upside / Downside1,452.01%1,526.84%1,604.63%

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