Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Great Eastern Holdings Limited (G07.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.37 - $70.73$54.09
Multi-Stage$48.14 - $52.67$50.36
Blended Fair Value$52.23
Current Price$25.80
Upside102.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.21%4.45%0.680.720.520.480.480.480.560.400.440.44
YoY Growth---5.56%38.49%8.31%0.00%0.00%-14.28%39.97%-9.07%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.63%4.07%2.81%2.38%2.40%2.20%2.26%1.44%2.16%2.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,926.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)781.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,145.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)385.28240.80144.48
Cash Retained (M)1,145.401,145.401,145.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-385.28-240.80-144.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)760.12904.601,000.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)592.66592.66592.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.281.531.69
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.281.531.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.843.01
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate2.45%3.45%4.45%
Fair Value$41.37$54.09$70.73
Upside / Downside60.34%109.64%174.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,926.401,992.862,061.612,132.732,206.302,282.422,350.89
Payout Ratio40.54%50.43%60.33%70.22%80.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)781.001,005.071,243.671,497.531,767.432,054.172,174.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate2.45%3.45%4.45%
Year 1 PV (M)914.09923.02931.94
Year 2 PV (M)1,028.711,048.891,069.27
Year 3 PV (M)1,126.581,159.891,193.85
Year 4 PV (M)1,209.271,257.181,306.50
Year 5 PV (M)1,278.241,341.851,407.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,975.3124,118.7125,307.19
Equity Value (M)28,532.2029,849.5431,216.72
Shares Outstanding (M)592.66592.66592.66
Fair Value$48.14$50.36$52.67
Upside / Downside86.60%95.21%104.15%

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