Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

H.B. Fuller Company (FUL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$132.17 - $409.76$384.01
Multi-Stage$55.41 - $60.62$57.97
Blended Fair Value$220.99
Current Price$61.05
Upside261.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.02%7.50%0.850.780.700.630.600.580.560.530.490.46
YoY Growth--9.69%10.68%12.47%4.18%3.41%3.96%5.11%7.61%7.14%11.24%
Dividend Yield--1.50%0.98%0.97%0.89%1.07%1.48%1.09%1.07%1.00%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)114.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.9814.368.62
Cash Retained (M)65.1665.1665.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.98-14.36-8.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.1850.8056.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)55.7655.7655.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.911.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.911.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.651.801.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$132.17$384.01$409.76
Upside / Downside116.49%529.00%571.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)114.88122.34130.30138.77147.79157.39162.11
Payout Ratio43.28%52.62%61.97%71.31%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.7264.3880.7498.96119.20141.65149.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.7160.2760.84
Year 2 PV (M)69.4470.7772.10
Year 3 PV (M)78.9381.2083.50
Year 4 PV (M)88.1791.5695.05
Year 5 PV (M)97.18101.87106.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,696.022,826.242,961.44
Equity Value (M)3,089.453,231.913,379.68
Shares Outstanding (M)55.7655.7655.76
Fair Value$55.41$57.97$60.62
Upside / Downside-9.24%-5.05%-0.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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