Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.91 - $5.59$4.73
Multi-Stage$6.49 - $7.10$6.79
Blended Fair Value$5.76
Current Price$3.92
Upside47.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.130.120.000.000.000.001.271.580.00
YoY Growth--44.90%7.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-19.57%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.91%3.14%3.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22.33%38.66%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.863.662.20
Cash Retained (M)10.0210.0210.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.86-3.66-2.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.166.367.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.1751.1751.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.91$4.73$5.59
Upside / Downside-0.21%20.78%42.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.3029.0128.7228.4328.1527.8628.70
Payout Ratio65.80%70.64%75.48%80.32%85.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.2820.4921.6822.8423.9725.0826.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.5318.7218.91
Year 2 PV (M)17.7218.0918.45
Year 3 PV (M)16.8817.4017.94
Year 4 PV (M)16.0216.6917.37
Year 5 PV (M)15.1615.9516.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)247.75260.65274.09
Equity Value (M)332.06347.49363.52
Shares Outstanding (M)51.1751.1751.17
Fair Value$6.49$6.79$7.10
Upside / Downside65.55%73.24%81.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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