Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. (FILA.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$217.80 - $256.61$240.48
Multi-Stage$145.11 - $159.20$152.02
Blended Fair Value$196.25
Current Price$9.32
Upside2,005.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.22%36.83%0.680.120.230.120.000.080.000.070.090.00
YoY Growth--481.64%-47.82%91.19%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-14.08%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--6.08%1.51%3.25%1.25%0.00%1.14%0.00%0.44%0.54%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.408.375.02
Cash Retained (M)26.3526.3526.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.40-8.37-5.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.9617.9821.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.9251.9251.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.350.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.350.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.19
WACC / Discount Rate2.85%2.85%2.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$217.80$240.48$256.61
Upside / Downside2,236.95%2,480.27%2,653.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.9971.3475.9880.9286.1891.7894.54
Payout Ratio60.66%66.53%72.40%78.26%84.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.6447.4655.0163.3372.5182.6087.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.85%2.85%2.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)45.7246.1546.58
Year 2 PV (M)51.0352.0152.99
Year 3 PV (M)56.5958.2259.87
Year 4 PV (M)62.4164.8167.28
Year 5 PV (M)68.4871.7975.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,249.647,599.807,963.36
Equity Value (M)7,533.877,892.778,265.31
Shares Outstanding (M)51.9251.9251.92
Fair Value$145.11$152.02$159.20
Upside / Downside1,456.99%1,531.16%1,608.15%

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