Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

FirstCash Holdings, Inc (FCFS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$182.41 - $577.02$293.49
Multi-Stage$118.26 - $129.31$123.68
Blended Fair Value$208.59
Current Price$158.42
Upside31.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.39%0.00%1.461.381.321.061.000.980.910.820.440.00
YoY Growth--6.28%3.87%25.33%6.21%1.82%7.59%10.91%85.97%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.22%1.10%1.39%1.50%1.52%1.36%1.04%1.01%0.90%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)309.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)258.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.9538.7223.23
Cash Retained (M)258.94258.94258.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.95-38.72-23.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)196.99220.22235.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.9744.9744.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.384.905.24
LTM Dividend per Share1.131.131.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.384.905.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.516.036.37
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$182.41$293.49$577.02
Upside / Downside15.14%85.26%264.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)309.75329.88351.33374.16398.48424.38437.12
Payout Ratio16.40%31.12%45.84%60.56%75.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.81102.67161.05226.60299.98381.95404.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.5794.4695.35
Year 2 PV (M)133.79136.34138.91
Year 3 PV (M)171.57176.49181.51
Year 4 PV (M)207.01214.97223.16
Year 5 PV (M)240.23251.83263.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,471.804,687.794,912.04
Equity Value (M)5,317.975,561.885,814.85
Shares Outstanding (M)44.9744.9744.97
Fair Value$118.26$123.68$129.31
Upside / Downside-25.35%-21.93%-18.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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