DDM Analysis: F-PB

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$51.49 - $227.26	$122.05
Multi-Stage	$65.61 - $72.07	$68.78
Blended Fair Value	$95.42
Current Price	$11.96
Upside	697.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.47%	4.79%	0.78	1.24	0.50	0.10	0.15	0.60	0.72	0.64	0.84	0.59
YoY Growth	-	-	-37.58%	148.63%	398.51%	-32.38%	-75.05%	-17.76%	12.42%	-23.46%	41.85%	21.93%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.74%	9.36%	3.97%	0.59%	1.21%	12.32%	8.06%	5.81%	7.22%	4.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,706.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,986.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,720.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	941.20	588.25	352.95
Cash Retained (M)	1,720.00	1,720.00	1,720.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-941.20	-588.25	-352.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	778.80	1,131.75	1,367.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,014.63	4,014.63	4,014.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.28	0.34
LTM Dividend per Share	0.74	0.74	0.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.28	0.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.94	1.03	1.08
WACC / Discount Rate	4.67%	4.67%	4.67%
Growth Rate	2.79%	3.79%	4.79%
Fair Value	$51.49	$122.05	$227.26
Upside / Downside	330.50%	920.50%	1,800.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,706.00	4,884.58	5,069.94	5,262.33	5,462.03	5,669.30	5,839.38
Payout Ratio	63.45%	68.76%	74.07%	79.38%	84.69%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,986.00	3,358.67	3,755.33	4,177.26	4,625.80	5,102.37	5,401.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.67%	4.67%	4.67%
Growth Rate	2.79%	3.79%	4.79%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,178.00	3,208.91	3,239.83
Year 2 PV (M)	3,362.17	3,427.90	3,494.27
Year 3 PV (M)	3,538.74	3,643.02	3,749.33
Year 4 PV (M)	3,707.91	3,854.32	4,005.01
Year 5 PV (M)	3,869.90	4,061.83	4,261.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	245,748.94	257,937.16	270,604.24
Equity Value (M)	263,405.66	276,133.15	289,354.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,014.63	4,014.63	4,014.63
Fair Value	$65.61	$68.78	$72.07
Upside / Downside	448.59%	475.10%	502.63%

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HBEL.BO	Humming Bird Education Limited	1.26%	$0.30	36.54%
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KOG.OL	Kongsberg Gruppen ASA	1.26%	$3.40	42.40%
OEM-B.ST	OEM International AB (publ)	1.26%	$1.74	40.26%
SAREGAMA.BO	Saregama India Limited	1.26%	$4.51	42.77%
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145720.KS	Dentium Co. Ltd.	1.25%	$599.51	9.81%
204320.KS	Mando Corporation	1.25%	$820.37	29.46%
3684.TWO	Grand-Tek Technology Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.80	29.94%
5819.KL	Hong Leong Bank Berhad	1.25%	$0.28	13.43%
600633.SS	Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.16	35.54%
600850.SS	CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.37	49.83%
603329.SS	Shanghai Ace Investment & Development Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.14	79.14%
603920.SS	Olympic Circuit Technology Co., Ltd	1.25%	$0.61	53.40%
6632.T	JVCKENWOOD Corporation	1.25%	$15.03	12.26%
9717.T	JASTEC Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$24.25	22.00%
9719.T	SCSK Corporation	1.25%	$70.95	36.13%
ENTER.AT	Entersoft S.A.	1.25%	$0.10	20.30%
ETN	Eaton Corporation plc	1.25%	$4.08	40.54%
IRFC.BO	Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited	1.25%	$1.60	30.59%
LVC.WA	LiveChat Software S.A.	1.25%	$1.46	20.71%
ORSTED.CO	Ørsted A/S	1.25%	$1.60	10.19%
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002346.SZ	Shanghai Zhezhong Group Co.,Ltd	1.24%	$0.25	18.48%
002748.SZ	Jiangxi Selon Industrial Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.16	89.09%
1976.T	MEISEI INDUSTRIAL Co.,Ltd.	1.24%	$21.03	12.53%
300763.SZ	Ginlong Technologies Co., Ltd.	1.24%	$0.88	39.17%
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WRT1V.HE	Wärtsilä Oyj Abp	1.24%	$0.38	40.46%
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Ford Motor Company 6.20% Notes (F-PB)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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