Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Equity Bancshares, Inc. (EQBK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.97 - $198.32$149.99
Multi-Stage$25.04 - $27.37$26.19
Blended Fair Value$88.09
Current Price$40.70
Upside116.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.450.370.310.060.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--19.32%18.87%384.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.13%1.11%1.29%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.532.201.32
Cash Retained (M)7.367.367.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.53-2.20-1.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.845.166.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.6817.6817.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.290.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.290.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$51.97$149.99$198.32
Upside / Downside27.69%268.54%387.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.6318.7719.9921.2922.6824.1524.88
Payout Ratio58.24%64.59%70.94%77.29%83.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.2712.1314.1816.4618.9721.7423.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.2111.3211.43
Year 2 PV (M)12.1312.3612.59
Year 3 PV (M)13.0213.3913.77
Year 4 PV (M)13.8714.4114.96
Year 5 PV (M)14.7015.4116.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)377.79396.04414.98
Equity Value (M)442.73462.93483.88
Shares Outstanding (M)17.6817.6817.68
Fair Value$25.04$26.19$27.37
Upside / Downside-38.46%-35.66%-32.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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