DDM Analysis: EPSN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.21 - $3.31	$2.73
Multi-Stage	$4.54 - $4.97	$4.75
Blended Fair Value	$3.74
Current Price	$7.38
Upside	-49.31%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.25	0.25	0.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-2.03%	-4.46%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.51%	4.61%	4.96%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.47

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.18	0.73	0.44
Cash Retained (M)	0.47	0.47	0.47
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.18	-0.73	-0.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.70	-0.26	0.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	22.12	22.12	22.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	-0.01	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.24	0.24	0.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	-0.01	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.21	0.23	0.25
WACC / Discount Rate	7.43%	7.43%	7.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2.21	$2.73	$3.31
Upside / Downside	-70.06%	-62.99%	-55.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5.88	5.82	5.76	5.70	5.65	5.59	5.76
Payout Ratio	91.92%	91.54%	91.15%	90.77%	90.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.40	5.33	5.25	5.18	5.10	5.03	5.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.43%	7.43%	7.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	4.91	4.96	5.01
Year 2 PV (M)	4.46	4.55	4.64
Year 3 PV (M)	4.05	4.18	4.30
Year 4 PV (M)	3.68	3.83	3.99
Year 5 PV (M)	3.34	3.52	3.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	79.89	84.05	88.38
Equity Value (M)	100.33	105.08	110.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	22.12	22.12	22.12
Fair Value	$4.54	$4.75	$4.97
Upside / Downside	-38.54%	-35.63%	-32.60%

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Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener