Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (EMTK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,406.03 - $2,633.87$1,906.09
Multi-Stage$1,259.67 - $1,374.16$1,315.89
Blended Fair Value$1,610.99
Current Price$484.00
Upside232.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.77%-3.39%8.737.236.140.040.005.237.009.1614.0847.40
YoY Growth--20.79%17.75%17,347.96%0.00%-100.00%-25.25%-23.58%-34.92%-70.30%284.71%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.65%0.78%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.86%1.07%1.60%5.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,545,680.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,687,775.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,109,136.17693,210.11415,926.06
Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.262,857,905.262,857,905.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,109,136.17-693,210.11-415,926.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,748,769.092,164,695.152,441,979.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
LTM Dividend per Share43.9543.9543.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend72.5579.3583.88
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$1,406.03$1,906.09$2,633.87
Upside / Downside190.50%293.82%444.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,545,680.855,850,225.326,171,494.056,510,405.446,867,928.367,245,084.887,462,437.42
Payout Ratio48.47%56.77%65.08%73.39%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,687,775.593,321,341.714,016,387.594,777,754.965,610,631.926,520,576.396,902,754.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)2,993,959.403,022,612.043,051,264.68
Year 2 PV (M)3,263,625.443,326,391.133,389,754.63
Year 3 PV (M)3,499,620.183,601,060.503,704,442.35
Year 4 PV (M)3,704,598.673,848,461.733,996,474.72
Year 5 PV (M)3,881,036.454,070,335.714,266,950.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)59,689,250.7862,600,620.1965,624,500.00
Equity Value (M)77,032,090.9380,469,481.3084,033,386.85
Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
Fair Value$1,259.67$1,315.89$1,374.16
Upside / Downside160.26%171.88%183.92%

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