DDM Analysis: EML

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11.87 - $18.71	$15.00
Multi-Stage	$23.08 - $25.38	$24.21
Blended Fair Value	$19.60
Current Price	$24.58
Upside	-20.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.10%	-0.90%	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.45	0.46
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.28%	0.99%	-0.62%	0.04%	0.39%	-0.45%	0.07%	0.12%	-2.12%	-5.92%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.72%	1.33%	2.30%	1.94%	1.70%	2.22%	1.64%	1.58%	2.10%	2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	7.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.58

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.46	0.91	0.55
Cash Retained (M)	4.58	4.58	4.58
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.46	-0.91	-0.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.12	3.67	4.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.11	6.11	6.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.51	0.60	0.66
LTM Dividend per Share	0.44	0.44	0.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.51	0.60	0.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.95	1.04	1.10
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	-1.07%	-0.07%	0.93%
Fair Value	$11.87	$15.00	$18.71
Upside / Downside	-51.73%	-38.99%	-23.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	7.28	7.27	7.27	7.26	7.26	7.25	7.47
Payout Ratio	37.05%	47.64%	58.23%	68.82%	79.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.70	3.46	4.23	5.00	5.76	6.53	6.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	-1.07%	-0.07%	0.93%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.21	3.24	3.27
Year 2 PV (M)	3.63	3.70	3.78
Year 3 PV (M)	3.97	4.09	4.22
Year 4 PV (M)	4.24	4.42	4.60
Year 5 PV (M)	4.45	4.68	4.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	121.45	127.71	134.23
Equity Value (M)	140.95	147.84	155.01
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.11	6.11	6.11
Fair Value	$23.08	$24.21	$25.38
Upside / Downside	-6.11%	-1.51%	3.26%

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Sector

The Eastern Company (EML)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener