Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.75 - $215.63$130.99
Multi-Stage$107.34 - $117.66$112.40
Blended Fair Value$121.69
Current Price$93.19
Upside30.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.65%5.11%2.222.071.901.751.691.611.461.421.381.35
YoY Growth--6.91%9.09%8.59%3.58%5.17%9.86%2.99%2.79%2.16%0.47%
Dividend Yield--2.59%3.96%3.53%3.00%3.40%3.42%3.10%3.61%3.64%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,817.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,042.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)775.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)363.52227.20136.32
Cash Retained (M)775.25775.25775.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-363.52-227.20-136.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)411.73548.05638.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.51442.51442.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.241.44
LTM Dividend per Share2.362.362.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.241.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.293.593.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Fair Value$87.75$130.99$215.63
Upside / Downside-5.84%40.56%131.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,817.591,883.891,952.612,023.842,097.662,174.182,239.40
Payout Ratio57.35%63.88%70.41%76.94%83.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,042.341,203.391,374.801,557.121,750.911,956.762,071.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Year 1 PV (M)1,119.131,130.031,140.93
Year 2 PV (M)1,189.021,212.291,235.80
Year 3 PV (M)1,252.401,289.361,327.04
Year 4 PV (M)1,309.661,361.441,414.75
Year 5 PV (M)1,361.151,428.761,499.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,267.1043,316.7845,447.10
Equity Value (M)47,498.4549,738.6652,064.65
Shares Outstanding (M)442.51442.51442.51
Fair Value$107.34$112.40$117.66
Upside / Downside15.18%20.62%26.26%

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