Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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eHealth, Inc. (EHTH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.18 - $15.93$13.51
Multi-Stage$16.77 - $18.44$17.59
Blended Fair Value$15.55
Current Price$4.31
Upside260.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.076.293.78
Cash Retained (M)47.5247.5247.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.07-6.29-3.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.4541.2343.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.4030.4030.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.361.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.361.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.321.451.53
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.18$13.51$15.93
Upside / Downside159.34%213.54%269.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.3449.8449.3448.8548.3647.8849.31
Payout Ratio5.60%22.48%39.36%56.24%73.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.8211.2119.4227.4735.3643.0945.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10.1210.2210.33
Year 2 PV (M)15.8416.1616.49
Year 3 PV (M)20.2320.8621.50
Year 4 PV (M)23.5224.4925.50
Year 5 PV (M)25.8827.2328.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)414.03435.59458.04
Equity Value (M)509.62534.56560.48
Shares Outstanding (M)30.4030.4030.40
Fair Value$16.77$17.59$18.44
Upside / Downside288.99%308.02%327.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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