Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Deswell Industries, Inc. (DSWL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$229.46 - $270.60$253.47
Multi-Stage$154.99 - $170.90$162.79
Blended Fair Value$208.13
Current Price$2.36
Upside8,719.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.97%0.71%0.200.200.200.200.180.150.100.070.140.11
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.06%11.24%20.03%50.25%42.81%-50.53%33.33%-43.25%
Dividend Yield--8.46%9.00%7.54%5.45%5.08%6.73%3.27%2.23%7.22%6.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.562.851.71
Cash Retained (M)16.4316.4316.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.56-2.85-1.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.8713.5814.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.9615.9615.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.850.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.850.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.141.251.32
WACC / Discount Rate-1.57%-1.57%-1.57%
Growth Rate0.36%1.36%2.36%
Fair Value$229.46$253.47$270.60
Upside / Downside9,622.87%10,640.35%11,366.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.8123.1223.4323.7524.0824.4025.14
Payout Ratio27.95%40.36%52.77%65.18%77.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.389.3312.3715.4818.6821.9623.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.57%-1.57%-1.57%
Growth Rate0.36%1.36%2.36%
Year 1 PV (M)9.399.489.57
Year 2 PV (M)12.5112.7613.02
Year 3 PV (M)15.7616.2316.72
Year 4 PV (M)19.1319.9020.70
Year 5 PV (M)22.6223.7724.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,394.572,516.262,642.86
Equity Value (M)2,473.972,598.412,727.83
Shares Outstanding (M)15.9615.9615.96
Fair Value$154.99$162.79$170.90
Upside / Downside6,467.42%6,797.77%7,141.33%

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