Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Deutsche Rohstoff AG (DR0.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214.61 - $836.44$363.91
Multi-Stage$134.74 - $147.29$140.90
Blended Fair Value$252.40
Current Price$47.30
Upside433.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.27%-13.88%1.771.320.540.000.150.800.650.600.550.63
YoY Growth--34.25%144.00%0.00%-100.00%-81.09%22.73%8.33%9.09%-12.44%-92.04%
Dividend Yield--4.90%3.77%2.12%0.00%1.26%10.72%3.53%2.56%2.53%4.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.204.502.70
Cash Retained (M)26.2926.2926.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.20-4.50-2.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.1021.7923.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.944.944.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.874.424.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.961.961.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.874.424.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.836.386.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$214.61$363.91$836.44
Upside / Downside353.73%669.36%1,668.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.9838.3240.8143.4646.2849.2950.77
Payout Ratio26.92%39.54%52.15%64.77%77.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.6915.1521.2828.1535.8244.3646.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.8513.9814.11
Year 2 PV (M)17.7818.1218.46
Year 3 PV (M)21.5022.1222.75
Year 4 PV (M)25.0125.9726.96
Year 5 PV (M)28.3229.6931.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)558.59585.57613.59
Equity Value (M)665.05695.45726.97
Shares Outstanding (M)4.944.944.94
Fair Value$134.74$140.90$147.29
Upside / Downside184.87%197.89%211.39%

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