Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ditto (Thailand) Public Company Limited (DITTO-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.76 - $31.41$20.98
Multi-Stage$10.97 - $11.97$11.46
Blended Fair Value$16.22
Current Price$9.50
Upside70.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.250.010.010.120.090.000.060.050.100.00
YoY Growth--2,856.51%20.02%-93.89%28.19%0.00%-100.00%21.29%-47.12%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.30%0.04%0.02%0.22%1.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.94%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)542.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)173.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)369.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.5967.8740.72
Cash Retained (M)369.54369.54369.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.59-67.87-40.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)260.95301.67328.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)692.73692.73692.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.76$20.98$31.41
Upside / Downside55.40%120.87%230.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)542.96578.25615.84655.86698.50743.90766.22
Payout Ratio31.94%43.55%55.16%66.78%78.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)173.42251.84339.72437.96547.54669.51708.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)226.83228.98231.13
Year 2 PV (M)275.61280.86286.15
Year 3 PV (M)320.03329.22338.58
Year 4 PV (M)360.38374.23388.49
Year 5 PV (M)396.90416.07435.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,018.766,309.476,611.30
Equity Value (M)7,598.507,938.838,291.63
Shares Outstanding (M)692.73692.73692.73
Fair Value$10.97$11.46$11.97
Upside / Downside15.46%20.63%25.99%

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