Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Domain Holdings Australia Limited (DHG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.98 - $1.41$1.19
Multi-Stage$1.69 - $1.85$1.77
Blended Fair Value$1.48
Current Price$2.53
Upside-41.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.07%0.00%0.060.060.060.010.060.060.050.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%8.11%595.56%-85.59%-8.01%27.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.01%1.57%1.83%0.15%1.65%1.85%1.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.0111.266.75
Cash Retained (M)14.2614.2614.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.01-11.26-6.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.753.007.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)635.92635.92635.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.31%9.31%9.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.98$1.19$1.41
Upside / Downside-61.21%-52.99%-44.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.0689.1688.2787.3886.5185.6588.21
Payout Ratio84.16%85.33%86.50%87.67%88.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.8076.0876.3576.6176.8577.0881.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.31%9.31%9.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)68.8969.6070.30
Year 2 PV (M)62.6163.8965.19
Year 3 PV (M)56.8958.6460.44
Year 4 PV (M)51.6853.8256.03
Year 5 PV (M)46.9449.3851.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)786.86827.83870.50
Equity Value (M)1,073.861,123.171,174.38
Shares Outstanding (M)635.92635.92635.92
Fair Value$1.69$1.77$1.85
Upside / Downside-33.25%-30.19%-27.01%

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