Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.06 - $98.57$70.03
Multi-Stage$60.47 - $66.26$63.31
Blended Fair Value$66.67
Current Price$84.25
Upside-20.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.39%3.76%1.101.030.960.920.900.890.840.790.770.76
YoY Growth--7.41%7.34%3.91%2.71%0.75%6.72%5.28%2.49%1.32%-0.02%
Dividend Yield--1.31%1.41%1.66%1.61%1.47%1.88%1.58%1.55%1.64%2.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)381.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)247.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.3847.7428.64
Cash Retained (M)247.70247.70247.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.38-47.74-28.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)171.32199.96219.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.40119.40119.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.431.671.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.431.671.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.562.802.96
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate2.52%3.52%4.52%
Fair Value$51.06$70.03$98.57
Upside / Downside-39.39%-16.88%16.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)381.90395.36409.29423.71438.65454.10467.73
Payout Ratio35.14%46.11%57.08%68.06%79.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134.20182.31233.64288.36346.65408.69432.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate2.52%3.52%4.52%
Year 1 PV (M)167.70169.33170.97
Year 2 PV (M)197.69201.57205.48
Year 3 PV (M)224.45231.08237.84
Year 4 PV (M)248.19258.02268.14
Year 5 PV (M)269.16282.55296.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,112.636,416.616,732.56
Equity Value (M)7,219.827,559.167,911.45
Shares Outstanding (M)119.40119.40119.40
Fair Value$60.47$63.31$66.26
Upside / Downside-28.23%-24.86%-21.35%

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