Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A. (CXSE3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.89 - $45.93$32.71
Multi-Stage$19.77 - $21.49$20.61
Blended Fair Value$26.66
Current Price$15.11
Upside76.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS69.06%0.00%1.081.010.650.610.610.080.440.260.170.00
YoY Growth--6.95%55.75%6.03%-0.49%685.72%-82.14%65.68%56.13%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.25%6.58%7.37%6.88%8.20%1.04%5.84%3.52%2.26%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,386.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,527.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)859.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)877.32548.32328.99
Cash Retained (M)859.11859.11859.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-877.32-548.32-328.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.20310.79530.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,000.003,000.003,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.100.18
LTM Dividend per Share1.181.181.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.100.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.171.281.35
WACC / Discount Rate10.67%10.67%10.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.89$32.71$45.93
Upside / Downside58.10%116.47%203.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,386.584,671.714,975.375,298.775,643.196,009.996,190.29
Payout Ratio80.41%82.33%84.25%86.17%88.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,527.473,846.314,191.704,565.744,970.695,409.005,726.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.67%10.67%10.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,442.973,475.613,508.24
Year 2 PV (M)3,358.683,422.653,487.23
Year 3 PV (M)3,274.753,368.753,464.54
Year 4 PV (M)3,191.343,314.073,440.30
Year 5 PV (M)3,108.583,258.723,414.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,927.4345,000.8447,153.61
Equity Value (M)59,303.7461,840.6464,468.54
Shares Outstanding (M)3,000.003,000.003,000.00
Fair Value$19.77$20.61$21.49
Upside / Downside30.83%36.42%42.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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