Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Caribbean Utilities Company, Ltd. (CUP-U.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.08 - $46.20$30.28
Multi-Stage$40.02 - $43.97$41.96
Blended Fair Value$36.12
Current Price$13.31
Upside171.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.40%3.09%0.680.620.610.610.620.600.590.580.570.55
YoY Growth--9.07%2.48%-0.25%-2.06%3.13%1.51%2.91%1.72%4.04%8.88%
Dividend Yield--5.12%4.38%4.33%4.02%4.14%4.23%3.92%4.26%4.22%5.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.105.683.41
Cash Retained (M)16.3016.3016.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.10-5.68-3.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.2010.6212.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.3140.3140.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.260.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.260.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.991.04
WACC / Discount Rate5.42%5.42%5.42%
Growth Rate1.09%2.09%3.09%
Fair Value$21.08$30.28$46.20
Upside / Downside58.36%127.47%247.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45.4846.4347.4048.3949.4050.4351.94
Payout Ratio64.16%69.33%74.50%79.66%84.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.1832.1935.3138.5541.9045.3948.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.42%5.42%5.42%
Growth Rate1.09%2.09%3.09%
Year 1 PV (M)30.2330.5330.83
Year 2 PV (M)31.1531.7732.40
Year 3 PV (M)31.9532.9033.88
Year 4 PV (M)32.6233.9335.28
Year 5 PV (M)33.1934.8636.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,453.811,527.161,603.43
Equity Value (M)1,612.961,691.161,772.43
Shares Outstanding (M)40.3140.3140.31
Fair Value$40.02$41.96$43.97
Upside / Downside200.65%215.22%230.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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