Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Corby Spirit and Wine Limited (CSW-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.60 - $195.12$101.73
Multi-Stage$33.33 - $36.48$34.88
Blended Fair Value$68.31
Current Price$14.05
Upside386.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.91%-4.11%0.900.840.880.930.840.861.320.870.821.38
YoY Growth--7.14%-4.55%-5.37%10.71%-2.32%-34.85%51.72%6.10%-40.58%0.73%
Dividend Yield--6.41%6.58%6.09%5.28%4.65%5.48%7.67%4.29%3.80%6.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.663.542.12
Cash Retained (M)2.402.402.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.66-3.54-2.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.26-1.140.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.4728.4728.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.040.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.040.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Fair Value$43.60$101.73$195.12
Upside / Downside210.34%624.07%1,288.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28.3129.7431.2532.8434.5136.2637.35
Payout Ratio91.53%91.22%90.92%90.61%90.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.9127.1328.4129.7631.1632.6434.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Year 1 PV (M)25.3625.6025.85
Year 2 PV (M)24.8225.3025.78
Year 3 PV (M)24.2925.0025.72
Year 4 PV (M)23.7824.7125.66
Year 5 PV (M)23.2724.4125.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)827.41867.93910.02
Equity Value (M)948.93992.951,038.63
Shares Outstanding (M)28.4728.4728.47
Fair Value$33.33$34.88$36.48
Upside / Downside137.24%148.25%159.67%

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