Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

CT Real Estate Investment Trust (CRT-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.75 - $34.08$25.12
Multi-Stage$22.52 - $24.65$23.57
Blended Fair Value$24.34
Current Price$15.88
Upside53.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.41%5.42%0.790.760.720.690.660.630.250.580.240.23
YoY Growth--3.64%4.75%5.21%3.91%4.58%150.73%-56.63%144.20%2.50%-49.80%
Dividend Yield--5.41%5.45%4.51%3.89%4.05%5.41%1.77%4.43%1.58%1.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)324.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)174.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.9840.6124.37
Cash Retained (M)174.03174.03174.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.98-40.61-24.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)109.05133.42149.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)249.55249.55249.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.530.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.530.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.041.141.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Fair Value$18.75$25.12$34.08
Upside / Downside18.05%58.18%114.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)324.88335.97347.45359.31371.58384.26395.79
Payout Ratio46.43%55.15%63.86%72.57%81.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.85185.28221.88260.76302.04345.84366.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Year 1 PV (M)169.73171.39173.05
Year 2 PV (M)186.20189.86193.55
Year 3 PV (M)200.47206.40212.45
Year 4 PV (M)212.73221.16229.83
Year 5 PV (M)223.13234.24245.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,627.754,858.145,097.61
Equity Value (M)5,620.015,881.186,152.27
Shares Outstanding (M)249.55249.55249.55
Fair Value$22.52$23.57$24.65
Upside / Downside41.82%48.41%55.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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