DDM Analysis: CRES.BA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11,791.89 - $58,315.03	$24,869.20
Multi-Stage	$6,620.91 - $7,229.60	$6,919.74
Blended Fair Value	$15,894.47
Current Price	$1,413.00
Upside	1,024.87%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	102.75%	119.29%	141.64	200.21	263.98	107.87	18.89	4.13	0.75	1.52	7.36	0.39
YoY Growth	-	-	-29.26%	-24.16%	144.72%	471.13%	356.86%	447.64%	-50.43%	-79.30%	1,800.42%	602.94%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.02%	18.62%	47.96%	65.55%	20.55%	10.66%	2.16%	3.10%	25.10%	1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	181,002.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	121,662.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	59,340.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	36,200.40	22,625.25	13,575.15
Cash Retained (M)	59,340.00	59,340.00	59,340.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-36,200.40	-22,625.25	-13,575.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	23,139.60	36,714.75	45,764.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	617.28	617.28	617.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share	37.49	59.48	74.14
LTM Dividend per Share	197.09	197.09	197.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	37.49	59.48	74.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	234.58	256.57	271.23
WACC / Discount Rate	7.60%	7.60%	7.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$11,791.89	$24,869.20	$58,315.03
Upside / Downside	734.53%	1,660.03%	4,027.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	181,002.00	192,767.13	205,296.99	218,641.30	232,852.98	247,988.43	255,428.08
Payout Ratio	67.22%	71.77%	76.33%	80.89%	85.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	121,662.00	138,354.11	156,702.17	176,850.93	198,956.96	223,189.58	236,270.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.60%	7.60%	7.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	127,376.03	128,583.39	129,790.74
Year 2 PV (M)	132,820.87	135,350.73	137,904.46
Year 3 PV (M)	138,004.84	141,966.46	146,003.18
Year 4 PV (M)	142,936.04	148,432.96	154,086.92
Year 5 PV (M)	147,622.38	154,752.59	162,155.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,398,204.56	3,562,339.12	3,732,755.48
Equity Value (M)	4,086,964.72	4,271,425.25	4,462,696.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	617.28	617.28	617.28
Fair Value	$6,620.91	$6,919.74	$7,229.60
Upside / Downside	368.57%	389.72%	411.65%

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Financial Statements

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Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria (CRES.BA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener