Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.67 - $48.93$39.68
Multi-Stage$47.34 - $51.92$49.58
Blended Fair Value$44.63
Current Price$52.30
Upside-14.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.38%5.76%1.251.321.341.230.311.171.120.910.860.78
YoY Growth---5.05%-2.19%9.41%299.09%-73.60%3.93%23.09%5.79%10.51%9.32%
Dividend Yield--1.65%1.62%1.49%1.36%0.29%1.67%1.07%1.19%1.47%1.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)186.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)120.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.3223.3314.00
Cash Retained (M)120.28120.28120.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.32-23.33-14.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)82.9696.95106.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)55.8555.8555.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.491.741.90
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.491.741.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.672.923.09
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate0.06%1.06%2.06%
Fair Value$31.67$39.68$48.93
Upside / Downside-39.45%-24.13%-6.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)186.61188.59190.58192.60194.63196.69202.59
Payout Ratio35.55%46.44%57.33%68.22%79.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.3387.57109.25131.39153.97177.02187.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate0.06%1.06%2.06%
Year 1 PV (M)79.9180.7181.51
Year 2 PV (M)90.9792.8094.65
Year 3 PV (M)99.83102.85105.93
Year 4 PV (M)106.75111.09115.55
Year 5 PV (M)112.00117.71123.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,154.062,263.872,378.12
Equity Value (M)2,643.522,769.022,899.40
Shares Outstanding (M)55.8555.8555.85
Fair Value$47.34$49.58$51.92
Upside / Downside-9.49%-5.19%-0.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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