DDM Analysis: CMOCTEZ.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$387.92 - $1,434.23	$1,180.99
Multi-Stage	$185.01 - $202.14	$193.42
Blended Fair Value	$687.20
Current Price	$82.00
Upside	738.05%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.64%	9.29%	5.02	4.03	4.08	4.10	4.11	4.86	5.47	5.16	4.13	2.06
YoY Growth	-	-	24.49%	-1.22%	-0.45%	-0.26%	-15.44%	-11.18%	6.00%	25.00%	100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.21%	5.37%	7.10%	6.45%	6.52%	8.72%	9.16%	7.06%	6.45%	3.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,151.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,269.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,881.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,230.27	768.92	461.35
Cash Retained (M)	1,881.53	1,881.53	1,881.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,230.27	-768.92	-461.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	651.26	1,112.61	1,420.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	852.97	852.97	852.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.76	1.30	1.66
LTM Dividend per Share	5.01	5.01	5.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.76	1.30	1.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.77	6.31	6.67
WACC / Discount Rate	7.07%	7.07%	7.07%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$387.92	$1,180.99	$1,434.23
Upside / Downside	373.08%	1,340.23%	1,649.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,151.35	6,551.18	6,977.01	7,430.52	7,913.50	8,427.88	8,680.71
Payout Ratio	69.41%	73.53%	77.65%	81.77%	85.88%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,269.82	4,817.10	5,417.49	6,075.57	6,796.32	7,585.09	8,029.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.07%	7.07%	7.07%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,456.82	4,499.06	4,541.30
Year 2 PV (M)	4,637.41	4,725.74	4,814.90
Year 3 PV (M)	4,811.76	4,949.89	5,090.63
Year 4 PV (M)	4,980.00	5,171.52	5,368.50
Year 5 PV (M)	5,142.28	5,390.65	5,648.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	133,782.36	140,244.10	146,953.14
Equity Value (M)	157,810.62	164,980.95	172,417.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	852.97	852.97	852.97
Fair Value	$185.01	$193.42	$202.14
Upside / Downside	125.63%	135.88%	146.51%

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Corporación Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V. (CMOCTEZ.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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