Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel d'Ille-et-Vilaine Société coopérative (CIV.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$186.33 - $277.77$229.84
Multi-Stage$273.00 - $299.74$286.11
Blended Fair Value$257.98
Current Price$78.50
Upside228.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.00%4.71%2.350.000.001.191.571.931.811.720.001.37
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-23.91%-18.70%6.40%5.34%0.00%-100.00%-7.76%
Dividend Yield--3.40%0.00%0.00%1.73%1.78%1.62%1.78%2.01%0.00%2.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)135.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.0816.9210.15
Cash Retained (M)110.83110.83110.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.08-16.92-10.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)83.7693.91100.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.046.046.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.8815.5616.68
LTM Dividend per Share4.074.074.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.8815.5616.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.9419.6220.75
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate-0.52%0.48%1.48%
Fair Value$186.33$229.84$277.77
Upside / Downside137.36%192.79%253.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)135.38136.03136.68137.34138.00138.66142.82
Payout Ratio18.13%32.50%46.88%61.25%75.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.5444.2164.0784.12104.36124.79132.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate-0.52%0.48%1.48%
Year 1 PV (M)40.1440.5440.94
Year 2 PV (M)52.8053.8754.95
Year 3 PV (M)62.9364.8566.81
Year 4 PV (M)70.8873.7776.75
Year 5 PV (M)76.9480.8884.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,344.121,413.041,484.77
Equity Value (M)1,647.811,726.961,809.21
Shares Outstanding (M)6.046.046.04
Fair Value$273.00$286.11$299.74
Upside / Downside247.77%264.48%281.84%

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