Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk (CITA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,058.51 - $10,645.22$8,751.55
Multi-Stage$14,387.90 - $15,815.36$15,087.71
Blended Fair Value$11,919.63
Current Price$4,000.00
Upside197.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%117.0010.0055.0091.0093.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1,070.00%-81.82%-39.56%-2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.95%0.44%1.51%3.01%3.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,276,000.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,762,360.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,513,639.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)655,200.03409,500.02245,700.01
Cash Retained (M)1,513,639.391,513,639.391,513,639.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-655,200.03-409,500.02-245,700.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)858,439.361,104,139.371,267,939.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,960.363,960.363,960.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share216.76278.80320.16
LTM Dividend per Share445.00445.00445.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share216.76278.80320.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend661.76723.80765.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7,058.51$8,751.55$10,645.22
Upside / Downside76.46%118.79%166.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,276,000.153,243,240.153,210,807.753,178,699.673,146,912.673,115,443.543,208,906.85
Payout Ratio53.80%61.04%68.28%75.52%82.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,762,360.761,979,572.952,192,264.652,400,504.572,604,360.472,803,899.192,968,238.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,828,171.801,846,826.611,865,481.42
Year 2 PV (M)1,869,751.851,908,104.741,946,846.99
Year 3 PV (M)1,890,771.391,949,244.782,008,911.45
Year 4 PV (M)1,894,449.681,972,965.762,053,897.52
Year 5 PV (M)1,883,605.151,981,688.842,083,816.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,614,545.6250,093,945.4852,675,572.67
Equity Value (M)56,981,295.4959,752,776.2162,634,526.65
Shares Outstanding (M)3,960.363,960.363,960.36
Fair Value$14,387.90$15,087.71$15,815.36
Upside / Downside259.70%277.19%295.38%

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