Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

City Holding Company (CHCO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$174.53 - $395.11$253.50
Multi-Stage$161.24 - $176.42$168.69
Blended Fair Value$211.09
Current Price$123.87
Upside70.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.11%5.91%2.992.752.522.482.522.442.031.861.771.74
YoY Growth--8.72%8.97%1.56%-1.46%3.17%20.16%9.08%5.45%1.64%3.34%
Dividend Yield--2.54%2.66%2.77%3.15%3.08%3.67%2.63%2.72%2.74%3.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)127.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)81.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.5115.959.57
Cash Retained (M)81.3081.3081.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.51-15.95-9.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.7965.3571.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.5714.5714.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.834.494.92
LTM Dividend per Share3.183.183.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.834.494.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.017.668.10
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate3.91%4.91%5.91%
Fair Value$174.53$253.50$395.11
Upside / Downside40.90%104.65%218.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)127.57133.83140.41147.30154.53162.12166.98
Payout Ratio36.27%47.02%57.76%68.51%79.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.2762.9281.10100.91122.47145.91154.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate3.91%4.91%5.91%
Year 1 PV (M)57.6658.2258.77
Year 2 PV (M)68.1169.4370.76
Year 3 PV (M)77.6679.9382.23
Year 4 PV (M)86.3889.7593.22
Year 5 PV (M)94.3098.93103.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,964.482,060.852,160.96
Equity Value (M)2,348.602,457.102,569.68
Shares Outstanding (M)14.5714.5714.57
Fair Value$161.24$168.69$176.42
Upside / Downside30.17%36.19%42.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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