Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cencosud Shopping S.A. (CENCOSHOPP.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,491.33 - $2,505.48$1,935.93
Multi-Stage$3,077.26 - $3,379.90$3,225.66
Blended Fair Value$2,580.80
Current Price$1,541.10
Upside67.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017
DPS1.56%0.00%94.9389.9372.2454.9616.7787.870.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.56%24.48%31.45%227.69%-80.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.16%7.03%7.83%3.66%1.22%5.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214,575.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162,053.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)52,521.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42,915.1626,821.9716,093.18
Cash Retained (M)52,521.8352,521.8352,521.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-42,915.16-26,821.97-16,093.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,606.6725,699.8536,428.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,707.161,707.161,707.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.6315.0521.34
LTM Dividend per Share94.9394.9394.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.6315.0521.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend100.55109.98116.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Fair Value$1,491.33$1,935.93$2,505.48
Upside / Downside-3.23%25.62%62.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214,575.78215,772.88216,976.65218,187.15219,404.39220,628.43227,247.28
Payout Ratio75.52%78.42%81.31%84.21%87.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162,053.95169,205.55176,431.89183,733.61191,111.30198,565.59210,203.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Year 1 PV (M)157,638.03159,221.41160,804.79
Year 2 PV (M)153,133.38156,225.10159,347.72
Year 3 PV (M)148,568.85153,090.83157,703.64
Year 4 PV (M)143,969.97149,842.08155,892.01
Year 5 PV (M)139,359.29146,500.22153,930.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,510,707.324,741,841.024,982,353.94
Equity Value (M)5,253,376.845,506,720.665,770,033.01
Shares Outstanding (M)1,707.161,707.161,707.16
Fair Value$3,077.26$3,225.66$3,379.90
Upside / Downside99.68%109.31%119.32%

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