Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CBTX, Inc. (CBTX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.00 - $33.79$28.19
Multi-Stage$41.94 - $46.03$43.95
Blended Fair Value$36.07
Current Price$29.25
Upside23.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-35.59%0.00%0.040.050.010.490.410.360.200.180.180.18
YoY Growth---20.67%768.09%-98.83%21.11%13.76%75.88%12.85%0.37%-2.04%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.14%0.17%0.02%1.59%1.33%2.01%0.62%0.61%0.63%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.599.125.47
Cash Retained (M)33.1533.1533.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.59-9.12-5.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.5624.0327.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.4624.4624.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.981.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.981.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.392.612.76
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$23.00$28.19$33.79
Upside / Downside-21.36%-3.62%15.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.9472.2171.4970.7770.0669.3671.44
Payout Ratio54.55%61.64%68.73%75.82%82.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.7944.5149.1353.6658.0962.4366.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)40.7341.1541.56
Year 2 PV (M)41.1542.0042.85
Year 3 PV (M)41.1342.4043.70
Year 4 PV (M)40.7542.4444.18
Year 5 PV (M)40.0842.1744.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)822.15864.97909.54
Equity Value (M)1,026.011,075.131,126.19
Shares Outstanding (M)24.4624.4624.46
Fair Value$41.94$43.95$46.03
Upside / Downside43.38%50.25%57.38%

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