Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 (CAT31.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$323.94 - $538.34$418.64
Multi-Stage$1,092.15 - $1,205.75$1,147.82
Blended Fair Value$783.23
Current Price$87.70
Upside793.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.20%-0.11%2.812.522.680.452.171.812.093.032.912.85
YoY Growth--11.51%-5.90%490.75%-79.08%19.75%-13.42%-31.10%4.11%2.25%0.31%
Dividend Yield--3.74%3.85%3.80%0.56%2.19%1.35%1.85%2.93%3.20%3.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)106.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.9616.239.74
Cash Retained (M)106.10106.10106.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.96-16.23-9.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.1489.8796.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.5919.7321.15
LTM Dividend per Share5.215.215.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.5919.7321.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.8024.9326.36
WACC / Discount Rate4.89%4.89%4.89%
Growth Rate-2.01%-1.01%-0.01%
Fair Value$323.94$418.64$538.34
Upside / Downside269.38%377.35%513.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129.81128.51127.21125.93124.67123.41127.11
Payout Ratio18.27%32.61%46.96%61.31%75.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.7241.9159.7477.2194.31111.07117.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.89%4.89%4.89%
Growth Rate-2.01%-1.01%-0.01%
Year 1 PV (M)39.5639.9640.36
Year 2 PV (M)53.2154.3055.40
Year 3 PV (M)64.9066.9168.95
Year 4 PV (M)74.8277.9281.12
Year 5 PV (M)83.1687.4992.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,659.914,902.585,155.26
Equity Value (M)4,975.555,229.165,493.09
Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
Fair Value$1,092.15$1,147.82$1,205.75
Upside / Downside1,145.33%1,208.80%1,274.86%

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