Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cambuci S.A. (CAMB3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.78 - $36.08$27.34
Multi-Stage$24.52 - $26.83$25.66
Blended Fair Value$26.50
Current Price$9.75
Upside171.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.450.300.190.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--51.02%54.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.52%2.69%3.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.218.254.95
Cash Retained (M)35.8235.8235.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.21-8.25-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.6127.5730.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.8441.8441.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.660.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.660.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.261.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Fair Value$20.78$27.34$36.08
Upside / Downside113.08%180.37%270.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.0368.3070.6473.0675.5778.1680.51
Payout Ratio45.75%54.60%63.45%72.30%81.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.2137.2944.8252.8361.3370.3574.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate2.43%3.43%4.43%
Year 1 PV (M)33.9934.3234.65
Year 2 PV (M)37.2437.9738.70
Year 3 PV (M)40.0041.1842.39
Year 4 PV (M)42.3244.0045.72
Year 5 PV (M)44.2546.4548.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)828.24869.47912.32
Equity Value (M)1,026.031,073.381,122.53
Shares Outstanding (M)41.8441.8441.84
Fair Value$24.52$25.66$26.83
Upside / Downside151.53%163.14%175.19%

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