DDM Analysis: C07.SI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$40.10 - $59.60	$49.39
Multi-Stage	$47.53 - $51.86	$49.66
Blended Fair Value	$49.53
Current Price	$19.17
Upside	158.35%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.07%	2.08%	1.18	1.12	0.90	0.52	0.79	0.88	0.86	0.74	0.68	0.77
YoY Growth	-	-	5.31%	24.06%	74.40%	-34.22%	-10.39%	2.33%	15.36%	8.92%	-11.70%	-19.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.69%	4.94%	4.24%	3.39%	5.32%	3.93%	3.31%	2.44%	2.40%	3.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,884.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	902.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	981.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	376.80	235.50	141.30
Cash Retained (M)	981.30	981.30	981.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-376.80	-235.50	-141.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	604.50	745.80	840.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	395.20	395.20	395.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.53	1.89	2.13
LTM Dividend per Share	2.28	2.28	2.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.53	1.89	2.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.81	4.17	4.41
WACC / Discount Rate	11.38%	11.38%	11.38%
Growth Rate	1.70%	2.70%	3.70%
Fair Value	$40.10	$49.39	$59.60
Upside / Downside	109.17%	157.66%	210.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,884.00	1,934.94	1,987.25	2,040.97	2,096.15	2,152.82	2,217.41
Payout Ratio	47.91%	56.33%	64.75%	73.17%	81.58%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	902.70	1,089.97	1,286.71	1,493.29	1,710.10	1,937.54	2,051.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	11.38%	11.38%	11.38%
Growth Rate	1.70%	2.70%	3.70%
Year 1 PV (M)	969.11	978.63	988.16
Year 2 PV (M)	1,017.17	1,037.27	1,057.56
Year 3 PV (M)	1,049.57	1,080.83	1,112.71
Year 4 PV (M)	1,068.67	1,111.32	1,155.24
Year 5 PV (M)	1,076.54	1,130.51	1,186.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,604.43	14,286.54	14,995.74
Equity Value (M)	18,785.48	19,625.11	20,496.06
Shares Outstanding (M)	395.20	395.20	395.20
Fair Value	$47.53	$49.66	$51.86
Upside / Downside	147.96%	159.04%	170.54%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited (C07.SI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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