DDM Analysis: BVG.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.97 - $1.39	$1.17
Multi-Stage	$1.49 - $1.63	$1.56
Blended Fair Value	$1.37
Current Price	$1.77
Upside	-22.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.74%	0.00%	0.08	0.07	0.16	0.12	0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	23.95%	-58.56%	37.73%	31.74%	11.33%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.35%	1.26%	2.28%	3.05%	2.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	62.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	25.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.43	7.77	4.66
Cash Retained (M)	25.68	25.68	25.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.43	-7.77	-4.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)	13.25	17.91	21.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	450.00	450.00	450.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.08	0.08	0.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.11	0.12	0.13
WACC / Discount Rate	9.93%	9.93%	9.93%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Fair Value	$0.97	$1.17	$1.39
Upside / Downside	-45.28%	-33.65%	-21.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	62.13	61.93	61.73	61.53	61.34	61.14	62.97
Payout Ratio	58.67%	64.94%	71.20%	77.47%	83.73%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36.45	40.21	43.95	47.67	51.36	55.03	58.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.93%	9.93%	9.93%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)	36.21	36.58	36.95
Year 2 PV (M)	35.64	36.37	37.10
Year 3 PV (M)	34.81	35.88	36.97
Year 4 PV (M)	33.77	35.16	36.60
Year 5 PV (M)	32.59	34.27	36.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	497.52	523.24	550.02
Equity Value (M)	670.54	701.51	733.66
Shares Outstanding (M)	450.00	450.00	450.00
Fair Value	$1.49	$1.56	$1.63
Upside / Downside	-15.81%	-11.93%	-7.89%

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BlueVenture Group Public Company Limited (BVG.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener