Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bentley Systems, Incorporated (BSY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.04 - $160.68$150.58
Multi-Stage$23.55 - $25.79$24.65
Blended Fair Value$87.61
Current Price$51.48
Upside70.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS23.61%0.00%0.220.180.100.101.270.070.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth--22.74%70.34%3.28%-92.10%1,591.33%24.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.55%0.35%0.24%0.23%2.70%0.22%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)269.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)81.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)187.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.8633.6620.20
Cash Retained (M)187.43187.43187.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.86-33.66-20.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)133.57153.77167.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)333.34333.34333.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.460.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.460.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$68.04$150.58$160.68
Upside / Downside32.16%192.50%212.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)269.32286.82305.46325.32346.47368.99380.06
Payout Ratio30.41%42.32%54.24%66.16%78.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)81.89121.39165.69215.24270.52332.09351.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)112.91113.98115.05
Year 2 PV (M)143.35146.08148.84
Year 3 PV (M)173.20178.17183.24
Year 4 PV (M)202.48210.27218.28
Year 5 PV (M)231.19242.36253.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,988.187,325.717,676.16
Equity Value (M)7,851.318,216.578,595.51
Shares Outstanding (M)333.34333.34333.34
Fair Value$23.55$24.65$25.79
Upside / Downside-54.25%-52.12%-49.91%

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