Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II (BSTZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.56 - $130.99$106.07
Multi-Stage$98.15 - $106.97$102.48
Blended Fair Value$104.27
Current Price$20.75
Upside402.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS6.70%0.00%2.382.242.272.791.091.720.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--6.05%-1.08%-18.75%155.64%-36.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--11.48%13.41%14.49%7.16%3.00%8.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)372.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)74.4546.5327.92
Cash Retained (M)128.83128.83128.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-74.45-46.53-27.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.3882.30100.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.1143.1143.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.261.912.34
LTM Dividend per Share5.655.655.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.261.912.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.917.557.99
WACC / Discount Rate10.83%10.83%10.83%
Growth Rate2.46%3.46%4.46%
Fair Value$84.56$106.07$130.99
Upside / Downside307.54%411.17%531.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)372.23385.13398.47412.28426.56441.34454.58
Payout Ratio65.39%70.31%75.23%80.16%85.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243.40270.79299.79330.47362.91397.21420.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.83%10.83%10.83%
Growth Rate2.46%3.46%4.46%
Year 1 PV (M)241.96244.32246.68
Year 2 PV (M)239.35244.04248.78
Year 3 PV (M)235.75242.72249.82
Year 4 PV (M)231.33240.49249.93
Year 5 PV (M)226.23237.49249.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,056.933,209.043,367.14
Equity Value (M)4,231.544,418.104,611.54
Shares Outstanding (M)43.1143.1143.11
Fair Value$98.15$102.48$106.97
Upside / Downside373.03%393.88%415.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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