Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

BRF S.A. (BRFS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.65 - $115.18$70.75
Multi-Stage$33.86 - $36.97$35.39
Blended Fair Value$53.07
Current Price$20.14
Upside163.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%4.66%0.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.720.55
YoY Growth--134,383.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%32.30%22.47%
Dividend Yield--3.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.88%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,585.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,144.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,441.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)717.12448.20268.92
Cash Retained (M)2,441.132,441.132,441.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-717.12-448.20-268.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,724.021,992.932,172.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,627.441,627.441,627.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.061.221.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.700.700.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.061.221.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.761.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.65$70.75$115.18
Upside / Downside136.61%251.27%471.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,585.593,818.654,066.864,331.214,612.734,912.565,059.94
Payout Ratio31.92%43.53%55.15%66.77%78.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,144.451,662.432,242.912,891.833,615.634,421.314,680.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,505.291,519.561,533.83
Year 2 PV (M)1,838.941,873.961,909.32
Year 3 PV (M)2,146.862,208.492,271.29
Year 4 PV (M)2,430.492,523.952,620.09
Year 5 PV (M)2,691.142,821.132,956.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,499.2246,648.5548,880.14
Equity Value (M)55,111.9457,595.6560,170.76
Shares Outstanding (M)1,627.441,627.441,627.44
Fair Value$33.86$35.39$36.97
Upside / Downside68.14%75.72%83.58%

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