DDM Analysis: BJBR.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,607.16 - $3,270.30	$2,247.88
Multi-Stage	$3,155.66 - $3,464.95	$3,307.34
Blended Fair Value	$2,777.61
Current Price	$765.00
Upside	263.09%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.60%	2.82%	95.05	104.55	99.11	89.53	87.92	83.60	83.22	82.02	78.15	65.98
YoY Growth	-	-	-9.09%	5.49%	10.70%	1.83%	5.17%	0.46%	1.46%	4.95%	18.44%	-8.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	11.45%	8.64%	7.29%	5.87%	6.06%	11.41%	4.13%	3.99%	3.88%	6.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	997,156.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	896,953.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	100,203.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	199,431.20	124,644.50	74,786.70
Cash Retained (M)	100,203.00	100,203.00	100,203.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-199,431.20	-124,644.50	-74,786.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-99,228.20	-24,441.50	25,416.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10,521.44	10,521.44	10,521.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-9.43	-2.32	2.42
LTM Dividend per Share	85.25	85.25	85.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-9.43	-2.32	2.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	75.82	82.93	87.67
WACC / Discount Rate	5.58%	5.58%	5.58%
Growth Rate	0.82%	1.82%	2.82%
Fair Value	$1,607.16	$2,247.88	$3,270.30
Upside / Downside	110.09%	193.84%	327.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	997,156.00	1,015,303.17	1,033,780.59	1,052,594.28	1,071,750.36	1,091,255.07	1,123,992.72
Payout Ratio	89.95%	89.96%	89.97%	89.98%	89.99%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	896,953.00	913,375.83	930,099.35	947,129.06	964,470.56	982,129.56	1,039,693.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.58%	5.58%	5.58%
Growth Rate	0.82%	1.82%	2.82%
Year 1 PV (M)	856,637.98	865,134.70	873,631.42
Year 2 PV (M)	818,134.98	834,445.11	850,916.20
Year 3 PV (M)	781,362.55	804,844.18	828,791.60
Year 4 PV (M)	746,242.91	776,293.30	807,242.24
Year 5 PV (M)	712,701.77	748,755.22	786,253.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)	29,286,982.48	30,768,522.94	32,309,423.19
Equity Value (M)	33,202,062.69	34,797,995.44	36,456,257.83
Shares Outstanding (M)	10,521.44	10,521.44	10,521.44
Fair Value	$3,155.66	$3,307.34	$3,464.95
Upside / Downside	312.50%	332.33%	352.93%

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PT Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat dan Banten Tbk (BJBR.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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