Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Bilia AB (publ) (BILI-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$223.44 - $834.36$375.09
Multi-Stage$180.31 - $197.01$188.51
Blended Fair Value$281.80
Current Price$115.00
Upside145.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.41%11.30%7.098.505.986.310.005.194.904.434.093.25
YoY Growth---16.69%42.27%-5.28%0.00%-100.00%5.92%10.68%8.42%25.83%33.63%
Dividend Yield--5.51%6.25%4.67%4.69%0.00%8.47%6.11%5.99%4.42%3.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)727.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)566.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)161.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)145.4090.8854.53
Cash Retained (M)161.00161.00161.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-145.40-90.88-54.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6070.13106.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.0193.0193.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.751.14
LTM Dividend per Share6.096.096.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.751.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.256.847.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Fair Value$223.44$375.09$834.36
Upside / Downside94.29%226.16%625.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)727.00766.34807.81851.52897.60946.17974.56
Payout Ratio77.85%80.28%82.71%85.14%87.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)566.00615.24668.16725.00786.04851.55901.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Year 1 PV (M)567.77573.21578.65
Year 2 PV (M)569.02579.98591.03
Year 3 PV (M)569.79586.32603.16
Year 4 PV (M)570.09592.25615.04
Year 5 PV (M)569.95597.77626.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,923.4014,603.0515,308.99
Equity Value (M)16,770.0217,532.5718,323.54
Shares Outstanding (M)93.0193.0193.01
Fair Value$180.31$188.51$197.01
Upside / Downside56.79%63.92%71.32%

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