Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company (BHRB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$813.45 - $1,412.01$1,323.26
Multi-Stage$224.98 - $246.35$235.47
Blended Fair Value$779.36
Current Price$61.69
Upside1,163.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS13.82%0.00%1.901.051.050.990.991.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--81.85%0.03%5.86%-0.23%-0.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.39%1.91%1.42%1.77%2.03%2.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.3713.368.01
Cash Retained (M)72.9772.9772.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.37-13.36-8.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.6059.6164.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.0515.0515.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.433.964.32
LTM Dividend per Share2.252.252.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.433.964.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.686.216.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$813.45$1,323.26$1,412.01
Upside / Downside1,218.61%2,045.01%2,188.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.86113.80121.20129.08137.47146.40150.79
Payout Ratio31.71%43.37%55.03%66.68%78.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.8949.3566.6986.07107.69131.76139.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)46.0246.4646.89
Year 2 PV (M)57.9959.0960.21
Year 3 PV (M)69.7871.7973.83
Year 4 PV (M)81.4184.5587.77
Year 5 PV (M)92.8897.37102.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,037.853,184.583,336.93
Equity Value (M)3,385.943,543.833,707.65
Shares Outstanding (M)15.0515.0515.05
Fair Value$224.98$235.47$246.35
Upside / Downside264.69%281.70%299.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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