Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BlackRock Energy and Resources Trust (BGR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.97 - $15.10$13.05
Multi-Stage$25.23 - $27.69$26.44
Blended Fair Value$19.75
Current Price$13.26
Upside48.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.91%-0.96%0.850.810.620.490.741.041.041.041.121.75
YoY Growth--5.45%31.15%25.68%-33.21%-29.45%0.13%-0.12%-6.72%-36.18%86.23%
Dividend Yield--6.77%6.50%4.93%5.18%10.35%8.77%9.96%7.23%7.74%13.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.976.864.12
Cash Retained (M)0.960.960.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.97-6.86-4.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.02-5.90-3.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.6826.6826.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.38-0.22-0.12
LTM Dividend per Share2.022.022.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.38-0.22-0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.651.801.90
WACC / Discount Rate8.19%8.19%8.19%
Growth Rate-5.91%-4.91%-3.91%
Fair Value$10.97$13.05$15.10
Upside / Downside-17.25%-1.55%13.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.8752.1849.6147.1744.8642.6543.93
Payout Ratio98.26%96.61%94.95%93.30%91.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.9250.4147.1144.0241.1138.3940.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.19%8.19%8.19%
Growth Rate-5.91%-4.91%-3.91%
Year 1 PV (M)46.1046.5947.08
Year 2 PV (M)39.4040.2541.10
Year 3 PV (M)33.6734.7635.86
Year 4 PV (M)28.7630.0031.29
Year 5 PV (M)24.5625.8927.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)500.80527.98556.33
Equity Value (M)673.29705.47738.95
Shares Outstanding (M)26.6826.6826.68
Fair Value$25.23$26.44$27.69
Upside / Downside90.28%99.38%108.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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