Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Banco da Amazônia S.A. (BAZA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$613.79 - $3,007.79$1,092.69
Multi-Stage$376.70 - $411.56$393.81
Blended Fair Value$743.25
Current Price$75.29
Upside887.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.07%19.98%6.620.003.621.371.900.760.000.001.641.54
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%163.68%-27.59%148.98%0.00%0.00%-100.00%6.59%44.16%
Dividend Yield--7.56%0.00%5.18%2.95%4.72%2.63%0.00%0.00%5.63%5.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,073.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)448.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)624.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)214.69134.1880.51
Cash Retained (M)624.80624.80624.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-214.69-134.18-80.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)410.11490.62544.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.0656.0656.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.328.759.71
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.328.759.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.3216.7617.71
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$613.79$1,092.69$3,007.79
Upside / Downside715.24%1,351.31%3,894.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,073.451,143.221,217.531,296.671,380.951,470.721,514.84
Payout Ratio41.79%51.44%61.08%70.72%80.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)448.64588.02743.63916.981,109.721,323.651,401.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)538.69543.80548.90
Year 2 PV (M)624.09635.97647.97
Year 3 PV (M)705.00725.24745.86
Year 4 PV (M)781.61811.67842.59
Year 5 PV (M)854.07895.32938.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,613.8318,464.5819,347.90
Equity Value (M)21,117.2922,076.5923,071.38
Shares Outstanding (M)56.0656.0656.06
Fair Value$376.70$393.81$411.56
Upside / Downside400.33%423.06%446.63%

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