Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Bayu Buana Tbk (BAYU.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,256.87 - $5,312.84$4,176.33
Multi-Stage$6,354.99 - $6,981.24$6,662.07
Blended Fair Value$5,419.20
Current Price$1,320.00
Upside310.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%75.0050.0025.0025.0050.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--50.00%100.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.41%3.85%2.65%2.28%4.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)104,442.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61,813.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,628.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20,888.5013,055.317,833.19
Cash Retained (M)42,628.8742,628.8742,628.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-20,888.50-13,055.31-7,833.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,740.3729,573.5534,795.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)353.22353.22353.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share61.5583.7398.51
LTM Dividend per Share175.00175.00175.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share61.5583.7398.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend236.55258.73273.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-0.57%0.43%1.43%
Fair Value$3,256.87$4,176.33$5,312.84
Upside / Downside146.73%216.39%302.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)104,442.50104,893.62105,346.69105,801.72106,258.71106,717.67109,919.20
Payout Ratio59.18%65.35%71.51%77.67%83.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61,813.6468,545.3575,334.0782,180.1689,083.9896,045.90101,675.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-0.57%0.43%1.43%
Year 1 PV (M)63,629.1464,269.0664,908.99
Year 2 PV (M)64,915.3666,227.6567,553.07
Year 3 PV (M)65,735.6567,739.0069,782.64
Year 4 PV (M)66,147.2268,848.6471,631.97
Year 5 PV (M)66,201.6569,598.2873,132.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,918,087.752,016,499.732,118,910.29
Equity Value (M)2,244,716.762,353,182.362,465,919.88
Shares Outstanding (M)353.22353.22353.22
Fair Value$6,354.99$6,662.07$6,981.24
Upside / Downside381.44%404.70%428.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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