Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bahnhof AB (publ) (BAHN-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.00 - $87.02$57.30
Multi-Stage$31.96 - $34.75$33.33
Blended Fair Value$45.31
Current Price$60.00
Upside-24.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS29.46%0.00%2.011.761.000.750.600.550.500.330.330.00
YoY Growth--14.29%75.00%33.33%25.00%9.09%10.00%53.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.03%4.03%2.43%2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)221.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)215.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.3327.7116.63
Cash Retained (M)6.546.546.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.33-27.71-16.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)-37.79-21.17-10.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)107.22107.22107.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.35-0.20-0.09
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.35-0.20-0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.651.811.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$40.00$57.30$87.02
Upside / Downside-33.34%-4.50%45.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)221.67236.08251.43267.77285.18303.71312.82
Payout Ratio97.05%95.64%94.23%92.82%91.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)215.13225.79236.92248.54260.68273.34289.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)203.59205.52207.45
Year 2 PV (M)192.62196.29199.99
Year 3 PV (M)182.21187.44192.77
Year 4 PV (M)172.31178.94185.76
Year 5 PV (M)162.92170.79178.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,513.302,634.692,760.73
Equity Value (M)3,426.953,573.663,725.65
Shares Outstanding (M)107.22107.22107.22
Fair Value$31.96$33.33$34.75
Upside / Downside-46.73%-44.45%-42.09%

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