Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Azimut Holding S.p.A. (AZM.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.17 - $117.21$81.93
Multi-Stage$50.21 - $54.67$52.40
Blended Fair Value$67.16
Current Price$27.18
Upside147.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.29%6.01%1.481.691.921.371.351.451.621.121.680.84
YoY Growth---12.43%-12.34%40.68%1.22%-7.19%-9.94%44.78%-33.62%100.93%1.62%
Dividend Yield--5.73%7.12%9.90%6.56%7.05%11.20%10.93%6.97%11.21%4.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)493.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)351.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)142.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)98.6661.6737.00
Cash Retained (M)142.18142.18142.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-98.66-61.67-37.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.5180.51105.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)141.94141.94141.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.570.74
LTM Dividend per Share2.472.472.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.570.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.783.043.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.04%6.04%7.04%
Fair Value$59.17$81.93$117.21
Upside / Downside117.69%201.43%331.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)493.32523.10554.68588.17623.68661.33681.17
Payout Ratio71.18%74.94%78.71%82.47%86.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)351.15392.03436.58485.07537.83595.20630.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.04%6.04%7.04%
Year 1 PV (M)353.12356.48359.84
Year 2 PV (M)354.21360.99367.83
Year 3 PV (M)354.49364.71375.13
Year 4 PV (M)354.03367.71381.78
Year 5 PV (M)352.90370.02387.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,357.665,617.605,887.53
Equity Value (M)7,126.417,437.517,759.91
Shares Outstanding (M)141.94141.94141.94
Fair Value$50.21$52.40$54.67
Upside / Downside84.72%92.79%101.14%

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