DDM Analysis: AVEN.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$26.68 - $124.53	$59.52
Multi-Stage	$26.19 - $28.72	$27.43
Blended Fair Value	$43.47
Current Price	$10.20
Upside	326.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.65	0.30	0.28	0.22	0.17	0.14	0.10	1.01
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	118.27%	7.14%	24.58%	29.45%	19.99%	50.03%	-90.53%	1,471.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	6.84%	1.69%	1.99%	2.10%	1.01%	1.69%	1.02%	17.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	23.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	18.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.74	2.96	1.78
Cash Retained (M)	5.16	5.16	5.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.74	-2.96	-1.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.41	2.19	3.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	37.12	37.12	37.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.06	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.06	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.51	0.56	0.59
WACC / Discount Rate	5.34%	5.34%	5.34%
Growth Rate	3.36%	4.36%	5.36%
Fair Value	$26.68	$59.52	$124.53
Upside / Downside	161.56%	483.53%	1,120.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	23.72	24.75	25.83	26.96	28.14	29.36	30.24
Payout Ratio	78.26%	80.61%	82.96%	85.31%	87.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	18.56	19.95	21.43	23.00	24.66	26.43	27.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.34%	5.34%	5.34%
Growth Rate	3.36%	4.36%	5.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	18.76	18.94	19.12
Year 2 PV (M)	18.94	19.31	19.68
Year 3 PV (M)	19.11	19.67	20.24
Year 4 PV (M)	19.27	20.03	20.80
Year 5 PV (M)	19.41	20.37	21.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	876.72	919.96	964.89
Equity Value (M)	972.22	1,018.28	1,066.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	37.12	37.12	37.12
Fair Value	$26.19	$27.43	$28.72
Upside / Downside	156.75%	168.92%	181.55%

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Avensia AB (publ) (AVEN.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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