Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Anabatic Technologies Tbk (ATIC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,044.00 - $15,368.87$14,402.50
Multi-Stage$4,505.52 - $4,940.52$4,718.97
Blended Fair Value$9,560.74
Current Price$394.00
Upside2,326.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.007.4546.4710.844.747.226.95
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-83.98%328.73%128.76%-34.37%3.90%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.05%6.45%1.24%0.64%1.00%1.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214,666.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96,150.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)118,516.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42,933.3126,833.3216,099.99
Cash Retained (M)118,516.18118,516.18118,516.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-42,933.31-26,833.32-16,099.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)75,582.8791,682.86102,416.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,769.922,769.922,769.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share27.2933.1036.97
LTM Dividend per Share34.7134.7134.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share27.2933.1036.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend62.0067.8171.69
WACC / Discount Rate4.78%4.78%4.78%
Growth Rate5.19%6.19%7.19%
Fair Value$13,044.00$14,402.50$15,368.87
Upside / Downside3,210.66%3,555.46%3,800.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214,666.57227,964.66242,086.54257,083.24273,008.95289,921.22298,618.85
Payout Ratio44.79%53.83%62.87%71.92%80.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96,150.38122,718.98152,210.32184,884.57221,022.90260,929.10276,222.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.78%4.78%4.78%
Growth Rate5.19%6.19%7.19%
Year 1 PV (M)116,014.44117,117.29118,220.15
Year 2 PV (M)136,033.14138,631.74141,254.93
Year 3 PV (M)156,207.40160,704.68165,287.47
Year 4 PV (M)176,538.12183,347.26190,351.50
Year 5 PV (M)197,026.23206,570.81216,481.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,698,119.6812,264,813.8712,853,260.30
Equity Value (M)12,479,939.0113,071,185.6613,684,856.11
Shares Outstanding (M)2,769.922,769.922,769.92
Fair Value$4,505.52$4,718.97$4,940.52
Upside / Downside1,043.53%1,097.71%1,153.94%

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