DDM Analysis: ASTAK.AT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.04 - $42.21	$27.46
Multi-Stage	$24.56 - $26.93	$25.72
Blended Fair Value	$26.59
Current Price	$7.34
Upside	262.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	74.22%	0.26	0.26	3.42	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-92.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-4.43%	-11.50%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.52%	3.06%	51.82%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.02%	0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	13.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.78	1.74	1.04
Cash Retained (M)	6.62	6.62	6.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.78	-1.74	-1.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.84	4.88	5.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	14.00	14.00	14.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.35	0.40
LTM Dividend per Share	0.52	0.52	0.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.35	0.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.79	0.87	0.92
WACC / Discount Rate	6.62%	6.62%	6.62%
Growth Rate	2.35%	3.35%	4.35%
Fair Value	$19.04	$27.46	$42.21
Upside / Downside	159.36%	274.05%	475.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	13.90	14.36	14.85	15.34	15.86	16.39	16.88
Payout Ratio	52.38%	59.90%	67.43%	74.95%	82.48%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.28	8.60	10.01	11.50	13.08	14.75	15.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.62%	6.62%	6.62%
Growth Rate	2.35%	3.35%	4.35%
Year 1 PV (M)	7.99	8.07	8.15
Year 2 PV (M)	8.64	8.81	8.98
Year 3 PV (M)	9.22	9.49	9.77
Year 4 PV (M)	9.73	10.12	10.52
Year 5 PV (M)	10.20	10.70	11.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	298.04	312.88	328.32
Equity Value (M)	343.81	360.07	376.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	14.00	14.00	14.00
Fair Value	$24.56	$25.72	$26.93
Upside / Downside	234.58%	250.40%	266.83%

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Alpha Real Estate S.a. (ASTAK.AT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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