Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC (ASIC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.31 - $17.73$14.26
Multi-Stage$26.88 - $29.64$28.23
Blended Fair Value$21.25
Current Price$19.77
Upside7.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---84.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.04%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.746.714.03
Cash Retained (M)46.8346.8346.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.74-6.71-4.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.1040.1242.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.0546.0546.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.780.870.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.780.870.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.31$14.26$17.73
Upside / Downside-42.79%-27.86%-10.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.6953.1552.6252.1051.5851.0652.59
Payout Ratio12.77%28.22%43.66%59.11%74.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.8615.0022.9830.7938.4545.9548.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.0014.1414.28
Year 2 PV (M)20.0120.4220.83
Year 3 PV (M)25.0225.8026.59
Year 4 PV (M)29.1630.3631.61
Year 5 PV (M)32.5134.2135.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,117.141,175.311,235.88
Equity Value (M)1,237.831,300.231,365.16
Shares Outstanding (M)46.0546.0546.05
Fair Value$26.88$28.23$29.64
Upside / Downside35.95%42.81%49.94%

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